Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000105 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193
2025-12-07 0.000086 0.000102 0.000118 0.000139 0.000164 0.000192 0.000226
2025-12-14 0.000075 0.000093 0.000114 0.000140 0.000174 0.000214 0.000267
2025-12-21 0.000066 0.000085 0.000109 0.000141 0.000182 0.000235 0.000307
2025-12-28 0.000059 0.000078 0.000104 0.000139 0.000188 0.000252 0.000344
2026-01-04 0.000054 0.000074 0.000102 0.000141 0.000198 0.000275 0.000391
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000070 0.000099 0.000142 0.000205 0.000295 0.000435
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000065 0.000095 0.000141 0.000211 0.000313 0.000478
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000062 0.000092 0.000140 0.000216 0.000330 0.000521
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000090 0.000140 0.000222 0.000349 0.000567
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000138 0.000225 0.000363 0.000607
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000052 0.000084 0.000138 0.000229 0.000380 0.000652
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000050 0.000082 0.000138 0.000235 0.000400 0.000708
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000136 0.000238 0.000416 0.000756
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000138 0.000248 0.000443 0.000828
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000139 0.000255 0.000466 0.000894
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000138 0.000258 0.000484 0.000952
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000140 0.000268 0.000514 0.001036
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000040 0.000073 0.000140 0.000274 0.000538 0.001111
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000038 0.000072 0.000140 0.000279 0.000558 0.001181
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000139 0.000283 0.000578 0.001251
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000035 0.000069 0.000139 0.000289 0.000601 0.001331
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000034 0.000067 0.000137 0.000290 0.000616 0.001393